Study to assess electricity generation in a thermal power plant using fault tree analysis model
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Karaganda National Research University named after аcademician Ye.A. Buketov
Abstract
This paper presents the application of Fault Tree Analysis model for availability assessment of
thermal power plant. Reliability analysis as well as availability evaluation is performed for performance evaluation
of thermal power plant. Equipment maintenance data is collected from maintenance history for which the goodness
of fit test viz Kolmogorov-Smirnov is conducted and parameters for the best distribution are determined. Further,
reliability of subsystems at various time intervals is calculated. The Fault Tree Analysis models were developed for
performance evaluation of thermal power plant. These models are employed for the subsystems of plant and
furthermore availability indices are evaluated. The overall availability of 87.77% is evaluated using Fault Tree
Analysis model. The comparative results are obtained from the study, which revealed that the Fault Tree Analysis
model provides an availability index of the system closer to real-time data.
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Nygymanova A. Study to assess electricity generation in a thermal power plant using fault tree analysis model/A.Nygymanova, B.Ongar, Y.Sarsenbayev//Eurasian Physical Technical Journal. - 2026. - Volume 23. - № 1(55). - P. 60-67